全球粮食安全格局的时空演化     

蔡建明  马恩朴  林静  廖柳文  韩燕 《地理学报(英文版)》2020,30(2):179-196

Food security is the primary prerequisite for achieving other Millennium Development Goals(MDGs).Given that the MDG of“halving the proportion of hungers by 2015”was not realized as scheduled,it will be more pressing and challenging to reach the goal of zero hunger by 2030.So there is high urgency to find the pattern and mechanism of global food security from the perspective of spatio-temporal evolution.In this paper,based on the analysis of database by using a multi-index evaluation method and radar map area model,the global food security level for 172 countries from 2000 to 2014 were assessed;and then spatial autocorrelation analysis was conducted to depict the spatial patterns and changing characteristics of global food security;then,multi-nonlinear regression methods were employed to identify the factors affecting the food security patterns.The results show:1)The global food security pattern can be summarized as“high-high aggregation,low-low aggregation”.The most secure countries are mainly distributed in Western Europe,North America,Oceania and parts of East Asia.The least secure countries are mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa,South Asia and West Asia,and parts of Southeast Asia.2)Europe and sub-Saharan Africa are hot and cold spots of the global food security pattern respectively,while in non-aggregation areas,Haiti,North Korea,Tajikistan and Afghanistan have long-historical food insecurity problems.3)The pattern of global food security is generally stable,but the internal fluctuations in the extremely insecure groups were significant.The countries with the highest food insecurity are also the countries with the most fluctuated levels of food security.4)The annual average temperature,per capita GDP,proportion of people accessible to clean water,political stability and non-violence levels are the main factors influencing the global food security pattern.Research shows that the status of global food security has improved since the year 2000,yet there are still many challenges such as unstable global food security and acute regional food security issues.It will be difficult to understand these differences from a single factor,especially the annual average temperature and annual precipitation.The abnormal performance of the above factors indicates that appropriate natural conditions alone do not absolutely guarantee food security,while the levels of agricultural development,the purchasing power of residents,regional accessibility,as well as political and economic stability have more direct influence.  相似文献   

THREE-DIMENSIONAL DEFORMATION CHARACTERISTICS OF THE XIANSHUIHE FAULT ZONE     

ZHAO Jing  REN Jin-wei  JIANG Zai-sen  Yue Chong 《地震地质》2018,40(4):818-831

In order to analyze 3-dimensional movement and deformation characteristics and seismic risk of the Xianshuihe fault zone, we inverted for dynamic fault locking and slip deficit rate of the fault using the GPS horizontal velocity field of 1999-2007 and 2013-2017 in Sichuan-Yunnan region, and calculated annual vertical change rate to analyze the vertical deformation characteristics of the fault using the cross-fault leveling data during 1980-2017 locating on the Xianshuihe fault. The GPS inversion results indicate that in 1999-2007, the southeastern segment of the fault is tightly locked, the middle segment is less locked, and the northwestern segment is basically in creeping state. In 2013-2017, the southeastern segment of the fault is obviously weekly locked, in which only a patch between Daofu-Bamei is locked, and the northwestern segment is still mostly in creeping state, in which only a patch at southeastern Luhuo is slightly locked from surface to 10km depth. The cross-fault leveling data show that annual vertical change rate of the Zhuwo, Gelou, Xuxu and Goupu sites on the northwestern segment is larger, which means vertical movement is relatively active, and annual vertical change rate of the Longdengba, Laoqianning, and Zheduotang sites on the southeastern segment is small, which means the fault is locked, and the vertical movement changes little before and after the Wenchuan earthquake. Combining with the 3-dimensional movement and deformation, seismic activity and Coulomb stress on the Xianshuihe Fault, we consider the seismic risk of the southeastern segment is larger, and the Wenchuan earthquake reduced the far-field sinistral movement and the fault slip deficit rate, which may reduce the stress and strain accumulation rate and relieve the seismic risk of the southeastern segment.  相似文献   

车辆荷载作用下山西路基重塑黄土的动力特性研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

马林  张军  刘亚明 《地震工程学报》2018,40(1):101-104

针对车辆荷载对山西高速公路路基土体影响研究不足的现状,从试验角度出发,研究车辆荷载水平、波形、干密度和围压对路基土体的动力特性响应。研究表明:路基土体的体变随波形比的增大而增大,随车辆荷载的增大而增大;路基土体的动弹性模量随干密度的增大而增大,随围压的增大而增大,阻尼比随围压的增大而减小。  相似文献   

含孔隙介质的分层半空间表面瑞利波的衰减特性          下载免费PDF全文

阎守国  谢馥励  张碧星 《地球物理学报》2018,61(2):781-791

以分层半空间内部含有一层孔隙介质为物理模型进行数值计算，研究半空间表面瑞利波的传播和衰减特性.为更加接近实际，结合瑞利波的激发特性，确定了瑞利波的主衰减曲线，并主要以此进行规律分析.针对速度递增和含低速层这两种典型的地质模型，讨论了瑞利波的传播衰减在不同地质模型下的特性，并分析了各自的规律.结果表明，在这两种模型下瑞利波的主衰减曲线都受孔隙介质所处空间位置影响产生比较明显的变化，但衰减系数极大值对应的波长与模型的表层厚度存在较明显的线性对应关系，利用这一关系，可以在实际勘探中快速得到表层介质厚度.另外，通过对比分析还可以看到，瑞利波主衰减曲线随孔隙介质的孔隙度和渗透率的变化都强于主频散曲线的变化，表明衰减曲线对孔隙度和渗透率的变化更加敏感，理论上更加适合进行介质参数反演工作.综合对比结果，我们认为瑞利波主衰减曲线中包含了更丰富的介质参数信息，如果能够有效利用，将可以提高瑞利波勘探的准确性和应用范围.  相似文献   

黄土高填方场地地震动参数特性分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

来春景  朱彦鹏  王春青  马天忠 《地震工程学报》2018,40(6):1168-1173,1223

削山造地后形成的黄土高填方场地对地震动参数特性影响较大。以实际工程项目为研究对象,构造不同填土高度的计算剖面,采用一维等效线性化方法计算土层地震动参数,分析基岩地震动输入参数和填土高度对场地地表放大效应的影响。研究表明:场地地震放大系数随填土层的高度增加呈递减趋势。在多遇地震动和基本地震动作用下,场地地震放大系数递减速度比罕遇地震动和极罕遇地震动作用下要大。当填土高度达到一定程度后放大效应趋于平稳;填土高度的变化,会改变地表加速度反应谱的形状。填土高度越大,地表反应谱长周期的频谱成分越显著,反应谱曲线向后移,反应谱峰值点均明显向长周期移动,并出现多个峰值点,反应谱特征周期值变大;下伏基岩的刚度越大,地表峰值加速度的放大效应越大。地表加速度反应谱特征值相比变小。当填土高度增大到一定程度时,下伏基岩的种类对地表地震动特性影响则不明显。该研究成果对高填方场地的地震安全评价和结构抗震设计提供参考。  相似文献   

隔震曲线梁桥不同等级地震的振动特性模拟分析          下载免费PDF全文

高菁阳 《地震工程学报》2020,42(3):607-612

曲线桥梁抗震特性模拟分析对于曲线桥梁隔震、减震有着重要意义。基于隔震曲线桥梁设计过程中的特点,通过非线性水平弹簧单元对铅芯橡胶支座双向非线性的能力进行模拟,根据SAP2000科学选择强震观测地震波,并考量曲线桥梁本身存在的特性对桥梁振动特性产生的影响,针对隔震曲线桥梁在不同等级地震下振动特征进行模拟分析,其中,通过隔震曲线桥梁铅芯橡胶支座模型的构建和梁桥不同等级地震计算模型、输入地震波与传感器量测等步骤得到的模拟结果为:不同地震波与加速度峰值输入过程中,地震动较小下的支座水平刚度比较大,且结构相对稳定;地震幅值增大时,桥梁支座水平刚度减小,且支座的恢复力位移滞回变化曲线面积比较大,能够更多地将地震输入能量消散掉,减小能量不断向曲线桥梁上方传递的速度,可有效减轻地震反应,起到隔震的效果。  相似文献   

非饱和土中剪切S波的传播特性分析          下载免费PDF全文

柳鸿博  周凤玺 《地震工程学报》2020,42(4):960-966

基于对非饱和多孔介质的研究成果,考虑孔隙中的液相和气相的相互影响,研究非饱和土地基中剪切S波的传播特性。通过非饱和土中固相、液相和气相的质量平衡方程、动量平衡方程和非饱和土有效应力原理,建立问题的弹性波动方程,经过理论推导给出非饱和土中剪切S波的弥散特征方程。通过数值算例分析剪切S波的波速和衰减系数随饱和度、频率和固有渗透系数等因素的变化规律。结果表明,剪切S波的波速几乎不受饱和度的影响,但其随着频率的增大而减小,随着固有渗透系数的增大先不变后增大;剪切S波的衰减系数随着饱和度和频率的增加均增大,而随着固有渗透系数的增大先不变后增大最后减小。  相似文献   

象山港海域分区评价方法研究          下载免费PDF全文

金余娣  叶林安  刘莲  章紫宁  鲁水 《海洋开发与管理》2020,37(7):45-48

文章根据2011-2018年在象山港海域调查的象山港水文、水团、水环境、沉积物环境、生物生态等调查数据，将象山港海域划分为若干个具有不同生态变化特征的区域，研究象山港海域内的空间异质性，以便剖析各区域环境的问题。研究发现：象山港水交换特征、水团分布、水环境、沉积环境和生物生态特征将象山港划分为A、B、C、D、E 5个区评价较为合理。该方法可以有效并合理地对象山港海域做出评价，并为相关海洋科学工作者和管理者提供科学依据。  相似文献   

珠江口黄茅海底质沉积中介形类的生态类型及其分布特征          下载免费PDF全文

黄毅  吴洁  殷征欣  关瑶  倪锦锋 《海洋开发与管理》2020,37(6):89-94

文章通过对黄茅海底质沉积样品中的介形类生态类型进行研究，探讨其空间分布特征。研究结果显示：研究区内出现的介形类可划分为4种生态类型，总体表现为以近岸广盐型分子占主导地位，优势度极高；浅海多盐 真盐型分子次之；而广海真盐型和淡水 微盐型分子丰度很低。根据黄茅海河口湾的水体条件，可大致将研究区划分为5种亚环境区，各区内的介形类生态类型组成也存在较大差别，表现出不同的空间分布特征。介形类分布受海水盐度控制最大，其次为水动力条件。在水体盐度小、水动力条件强的河流入海口及其影响区域，介形类丰度小，且生态类型单一；而在黄茅海河口湾南部海域，由于海水底层盐度全年在15‰以上，水动力条件适宜，介形类丰度总体较高，生态类型增多。  相似文献   

辽宁瓦房店金刚石矿床50号岩管地质特征及找矿预测     

刘礼广  吴大天 《中国地质调查》2020,7(5):33-41

以辽宁瓦房店金刚石矿床50号岩管为例,系统分析了该矿床的地质特征。通过对斑状富金云母金伯利岩、含围岩角砾斑状金伯利岩和金伯利凝灰角砾岩进行岩石地球化学分析发现: 碳酸盐化金伯利凝灰角砾岩超基性成分较少,滑石化、蛇纹石化及碳酸盐化混合金伯利凝灰角砾岩超基性成分较多; 铬、镍、钛在金伯利凝灰角砾岩中的含量较低,在含围岩角砾斑状金云母金伯利岩中的含量略高,在斑状富金云母金伯利岩和斑状金伯利岩中的含量最高。该矿床主要为含围岩角砾斑状金伯利岩和斑状富金云母金伯利岩,其次为金伯利凝灰角砾岩、含围岩角砾斑状金云母金伯利岩和含金伯利物质角砾岩。含铬镁铝榴石、铬铁矿和碳硅石是金刚石的伴生矿物。水平方向上,金伯利岩含矿品位西部较富,东部较贫; 垂直方向上,金伯利岩含矿品位变化较小。通过三维建模,推测50号岩管不是根部相,而是受EW向推覆构造作用影响发生的断层错位,在其东侧600 m深处存在50-1号金伯利岩体。  相似文献